Since most people seem to be stuck on the key issue (), I’ll break down what my thinking on it has been so far using some of the reds we’ve gotten about this particular piece. Maybe some of the fresh eyes in the thread will be able to spot a conclusion drawn they don’t necessarily agree with, or see a hole that I haven’t spotted yet.
So, starting with these reds:
The key that Battler found in Kyrie and Rudolf’s room is the exact same one that was in the pot.
Battler did indeed put a key in his pocket.
One could conclude here that Battler put the red skull key in his pocket. I’m not convinced he did. The red that supposedly counters this above is At no point did more than one key exist on Battler’s person. . Let’s counter this red while we’re at it: Battler first planted the red skull key on someone else. Then, he stole the key Kinzo had. This way, a key (not the red skull key) did make it into his pocket, but he never had more than one key on him.
However, there are problems with that line of reasoning. So let’s pursue the more realistic scenario, where Battler did indeed put the red skull key in his pocket. Once there, he couldn’t have dropped it without noticing, nor could it have been pick-pocketed without him noticing.
So how could the key have left Battler’s pocket and made it into the pot?
- He put it there himself. This seems impossible, with the red that seems to deny a string trick. He didn’t get close enough to the pots himself to plant it by hand, and I believe we have it in red that he was watched the entire time between when the group found the key, and when they opened the lids of the pots.
- Battler did notice either of the scenarios denied in red (pick-pocketed, dropped), but chose not to say anything to the group. We also have it in red that if Battler is not the culprit, had he noticed he had dropped anything, he would have had no reason to hide or lie about it happening. So if he dropped it, he has to be the culprit. However, the culprit is also the one who put the key in the pot, so this line of reasoning makes no sense, as this would make putting the key in the pot impossible from that point on. The other possibility is that Battler was pick-pocketed, but chose to say nothing to the group. This blue isn’t quite denied by the red that states that If Battler is not the culprit, then he would have never intentionally disposed of the key he put in his pocket after doing so [after putting it in his pocket, that is]. Of course, ‘unintentionally disposing of the key’ is considered dropping the key.
We’re left with very weak blues at this point, it appears. Hopefully someone can spot another possibility or an erroneous conclusion
EDIT: After some more thinking, it occurs to me that now that we have confirmation that the culprit put the key in the pot, there’s a new question to ask. If the culprit intended for the key to be found in the pot from the beginning, why leave it in Kyrie/Rudolf’s closed room in the first place? There are a couple of possibilities:
- The culprit intended for it to be found in the closed room, but Battler finding the key somehow spoiled their plan, so they schemed to get it off Battler and put it in the pot to be discovered once more, this time by someone who isn’t Battler. How could they guarantee this though? The only way they could is if the culprit were Kinzo.
- The culprit did not intend for it to be found in the closed room. But then, why leave it there at all? The most logical thing to do would be just to put it in the pot in the first place.