I’ll add this to the list of questions we’ll address in the post-episode recap, since that will fit in nicely with what I wanted to address in that video anyway, but I see no harm in also answering it here.
Theories from the time of recording
For the locked rooms in this episode I somewhat neglected to solve them; I still came up with theories to demonstrate how they could be possible, but I was very unhappy with the list of accomplices that it would require; essentially all of the servants. As much as I was open to the idea of having a large, orchestrated group moving about doing these things, I didn’t want that to be the case because it almost felt like too easy of an answer with too obscure of a requirement.
- For the first locked room, the chapel, I stuck to the opinion that Battler had indeed solved it, as I think I’ve covered several points through the videos. I was of the opinion that this had been solved correctly to demonstrate that such things were possible, to the audience.
- For the second locked room, the easy guess was that the culprit (or responsible accomplice) was Kanon, but the red truth made that impossible. There was no difficulty in possibility here because of the abundance of keys available to the servants, but I chose to broaden the possible scope by taking the theory about Jessica’s key being swapped out. I hadn’t actually remembered at the time that Rosa had said the key was the right one, but despite that we can’t actually be certain because she could have lied, and it wasn’t stated in red that it was the right key.
- For the third locked room (the servant room), I was pretty stuck at the time, but as we got further in, I realised that we never saw the other locations that ‘Kanon’ supposedly appeared in. My theory at the time of recording is a bit of a mess because I was just spitballing possibilities, but in essence boiled down to the fact that the servant room was not actually the final or only location of the crime.
- For the fourth locked room (Natsuhi’s room), I was pretty well stuck on this one. I still didn’t feel it to be a problem at the time, but as I re-watch our recap video at the moment, I realise my solution was such a cop out. I was suggesting things like ‘it wasn’t a case of instant deaths’, ‘there could have been keys traded’ and ‘the crime didn’t happen in the room’, but let’s be real my solutions for this one were just a load of crap.
- For the final locked room, I suspected Rosa; she would have been able to get the letter/envelope from when she went in to Kinzo’s study earlier on, and since I was suspecting her to be the culprit, this was very simple.
At the time of recording, I suspected Rosa for both Episode 1 and 2. One of the things I was very aware of at the end of Ep2 was that it was entirely possible that I was merely succumbing to confirmation bias and taking all evidence to my theory and ignoring other clues. I recall around the last two locked rooms I was even asking myself ‘how did Rosa orchestrate this’ rather than ‘how would this be possible’, since I knew that she would not have been able to carry out the crime herself. In particular the letter found on the table at the end of Ep2 really sold me on Rosa as a culprit for this episode. This made it seem like there was only one culprit for all the games, but I made very sure to scrap that opinion for the process of reading Episode 3, which I think worked out pretty well for me. I won’t say too much on that though, you’ll have to watch and find out.
Theories from the time of editing (Post-Ep4)
As I say, you’ll have to watch and find out, but I feel like episode 3 gave away the game to me. The combination of “no more than 18 people”, EVERYONE being confirmed as dead or having an alibi, plus the ‘resurrection’ of Shannon and the ‘ghost’ of Kanon, I knew there was some hijinks at play. After spending weeks watching and re-watching footage I came to the conclusion of Shannon and Kanon being the same person, and I feel like assuming this person to be the culprit busted most of the closed rooms we had so far wide open. The only one that stumped me was Kinzo’s disappearance in episode 1, but once I assumed Kinzo to be dead at the start of the games, that became trivial too, and my 17 person count became 16.
Thus my episode 2 theory became this;
- For the chapel; Rosa helped the culprit kill her siblings in the chapel, bribed by the gold and her desire for revenge (thus why she is shown in the chapel and why we have her eating her siblings in the Tea Party). The chapel door was unlocked the whole night and Rosa merely claimed it to be locked under instruction from the culprit. (This satisfies the red truths we received at the end of Ep4 that debunked Battler’s initial theories)
- For Jessica’s room, ‘Kanon’ killed Jessica, the personality of Kanon was ‘killed’, and locked the room, then playing Shannon the rest of their time on the gameboard. This no longer has any need for my key tag hijinks.
- For the servant room, Genji killed them and hid their bodies until later under instruction from the culprit, thus why he was by himself for ‘two or three hours’, to ensure that the culprit had the time to complete their locked room and thus make it seem that the culprit was still active on the island.
- For Natsuhi’s room, it was a murder suicide where the culprit killed themselves the same way as the culprit of ‘And Then There Were None’, by shooting herself in such a way that the gun would hide itself (this was actually the circumstance that sold me on this culprit theory, after I looked up details on Christie’s tale). Thus why Shannon has a stake at her feet and not in her head, and is next to the dresser (which I assume the gun is behind)
- For the final locked room, the theory is the same as when recording. I don’t know when Rosa initially prepared the letter but I don’t think this is a challenge.
As for the question of multiple culprits, I think that both now and at the time of recording, I was confident multiple people were carrying out the murders, but there was only one person organising all of those crimes, the obvious exception being episode 3, thus far. This was not so much a hard theory I was sticking with as a solution, more that I was trying to resolve the crime with as few culprits and accomplices as possible, since I feel that it would be too easy to assume many culprits carrying out separate murders, plus it would be absurd to assume they were all doing this separately whilst following the epitaph ‘theme’. This is also the reason why I found resolving episode 2 so difficult at first.